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Future Shifts to British Columbia

     The maps below are forecasting results for productivity indicators for climate scenarios B1, A1, and A2 to the year 2080. The top row shows cumulative greenness (total productivity), the middle row shows coefficient of variation (seasonal productivity variability), and the lower row shows minimum cover (baseline minimum productivity). All productivity indicators predict major changes to shift from South to North and to higher elevations. The results range from the most extreme scenario being A2 and the least extreme being B1.                    Change analysis between past (1961-1990) climate information and future (2050-2080) scenarios have shown that cumulative greenness (productivity) is predicted to shift (as shown in the map below). Yellow regions will experience minimal change while blue areas will have an increase in productivity. High elevation regions show the greatest amount of change. The model indicates that the central region (Caribou Okanagan) will have the most increase to cumulative productivity. The red and orange regions indicate a decrease in productivity. Results for this research are preliminary. 

Present day, and future scenarios of cumulative productivity (B1, A1, and A2). 

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